Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.055007 3.526870 4.044065 4.652570 5.348480 6.119082 7.036708
2025-02-09 2.385829 3.000730 3.730729 4.659593 5.808401 7.180977 8.943803
2025-02-16 1.917839 2.601082 3.471038 4.656258 6.225042 8.226202 10.968358
2025-02-23 1.524331 2.213943 3.149430 4.504819 6.411244 8.989100 12.730377
2025-03-02 1.208593 1.869265 2.818966 4.274281 6.437157 9.519678 14.230335
2025-03-09 1.030853 1.687952 2.683350 4.287705 6.792816 10.534707 16.521712
2025-03-16 0.861878 1.488980 2.486759 4.172603 6.928665 11.228325 18.405636
2025-03-23 0.794111 1.439717 2.513233 4.405203 7.627472 12.852310 21.907559
2025-03-30 0.721380 1.369041 2.491793 4.550795 8.194959 14.321306 25.317577
2025-04-06 0.639107 1.267489 2.401304 4.561303 8.527099 15.427386 28.231666
2025-04-13 0.536850 1.112162 2.192107 4.328178 8.394017 15.710710 29.736209
2025-04-20 0.497295 1.071421 2.188063 4.472146 8.961778 17.286786 33.712094
2025-04-27 0.476114 1.066604 2.256253 4.771967 9.876454 19.625007 39.412063
2025-05-04 0.435705 1.015316 2.225249 4.870855 10.412546 21.312948 44.072752
2025-05-11 0.395744 0.958517 2.174802 4.922481 10.859033 22.875213 48.661496
2025-05-18 0.346224 0.871896 2.048388 4.794652 10.915013 23.662475 51.775142
2025-05-25 0.296519 0.776240 1.887781 4.567957 10.726785 23.920720 53.809572
2025-06-01 0.270403 0.733552 1.841374 4.593050 11.095400 25.387020 58.561918
2025-06-08 0.238734 0.671474 1.740423 4.476323 11.126002 26.122944 61.797483
2025-06-15 0.231363 0.671652 1.790263 4.729039 12.048844 28.930360 69.948222
2025-06-22 0.219298 0.657175 1.801457 4.887273 12.763484 31.337385 77.429041
2025-06-29 0.201303 0.623162 1.757748 4.899944 13.121740 32.953593 83.228961
2025-07-06 0.173956 0.557485 1.621045 4.651005 12.790579 32.898843 85.037288